TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:01h:37m
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This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Leverkusen and Marseille. It evaluates whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, providing insight into the offensive intensity of the game. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout results.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Leverkusen vs Marseille Europa League match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded from the count. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total exceeds that threshold. The governing body’s official match result determines resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved. All trademarks and branding belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If there’s a significant discrepancy between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it might indicate a perceived mispricing or differing expectations about the game’s outcome. It’s important to consider both when forming your own view.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Leverkusen vs Marseille match will be the determining factor. This includes any goals scored during regular play or added time, but does not include penalty shootouts. The final result will be sourced from official match data and verified against trusted sports news outlets to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Leverkusen or Marseille would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact expectations about the number of goals scored. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or updated team lineups could shift sentiment and affect the price of contracts in this market. Unexpected tactical decisions during the match itself could also play a role.