TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
The match between Leverkusen and Freiburg will determine whether more than a certain number of goals are scored within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Leverkusen vs Freiburg professional Bundesliga soccer game scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). The markets are independent assessments of scoring volume, each with its own threshold for resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of many individuals. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market incentivizes participants to predict the most likely outcome. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, particularly if they differ significantly from the prediction market price. It’s always wise to compare both to make informed decisions, considering that this market represents a different form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Leverkusen vs Freiburg match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various scenarios. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Leverkusen vs Freiburg match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will settle to 100 for the correct outcome, and 0 for all others. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Leverkusen or Freiburg would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect the market. Late-breaking team news, tactical announcements from the managers, or even shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.