TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:31 AM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a league fixture, where the outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score during the regular period of play, including any added stoppage time. This scenario evaluates their offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities within the standard duration of the game. The focus is solely on the scoring activity of both sides before any potential extensions to the match time.
If Leverkusen and Freiburg both score a goal in the Leverkusen vs Freiburg Bundesliga match originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the prediction market odds can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbook odds, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the event’s probability. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially closer to the event.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both teams score at least one goal during regular play (excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts) in the Leverkusen vs Freiburg match. The result will be determined by official match data and statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances once resolution is complete.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Leverkusen or Freiburg would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of high-scoring or low-scoring games, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, like heavy rain or strong winds, might also affect the likelihood of goals being scored. Finally, any significant tactical changes announced by either manager could influence traders' expectations and move the market.