TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:27 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Bundesliga soccer match between Leverkusen and Freiburg. Bettors can speculate on whether Leverkusen will win, Freiburg will win, or the game will end in a tie within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the result of that specific match as it concludes in regular time.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Leverkusen vs Freiburg Bundesliga match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for the Leverkusen market occurs only if Leverkusen secures a victory in regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Freiburg requires Freiburg's win in regular time. If the match concludes with an equal score at the end of regular time, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes'. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform’s procedures. The markets exclusively reflect the result of the match within regular time and do not account for outcomes determined during extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation events.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, as traders react quickly to news and developments surrounding the Leverkusen vs Freiburg match. Examining both sets of odds can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity provide insights into the level of conviction behind each prediction. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements for this market.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Leverkusen vs Freiburg match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing soccer authorities. The final score and any official rulings will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders holding the contract corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Leverkusen or Freiburg would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key personnel, such as the coach or star players, could also move the market. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could lead to adjustments in the prices for this market.