TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 2.5 total goals will be scored in the Levante versus Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 2.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on whether more than 0.5 goals are scored in the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the game. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve following the completion of the game originally scheduled for October 12, 2026, with final resolution expected by October 13, 2026.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the Levante vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer match scheduled for October 12, 2026. All markets resolve after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market has a different threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes.' The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly set prices based on their own assessments of probability. This can lead to discrepancies, where the implied probability from this market differs from sportsbook lines. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks, especially when a large number of informed traders participate, as they can more efficiently incorporate information and reduce biases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations, driven entirely by the supply and demand of traders interacting within the market.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Levante vs Sevilla match will be the determining factor. Official match data from reputable sports news sources will be used to establish the final result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The final result is based on the official statistics of the game.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift prices in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Levante or Sevilla would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also affect expectations about the number of goals scored. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches revealed before the match could prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Even public sentiment, reflected in pre-match analysis and commentary, can contribute to price movements in this market.