TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Levante and Sevilla, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. It provides a way to assess potential dominance by either side in this competitive fixture.
The event evaluates different winning margins in the Levante versus Sevilla La Liga match scheduled for October 12, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Levante winning by more than 2.5 goals, Levante winning by more than 1.5 goals, Sevilla winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Sevilla winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. Each market will resolve to 'Yes' only if the specified team achieves the exact margin of victory outlined in its primary rule; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective predictions of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an event occurring. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market evolves as more information and opinions are factored in by participants. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and the influence of public sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are essentially betting against each other, and the market price converges towards what participants believe is the fair probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Levante vs Sevilla match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Levante vs Sevilla match, specifically the spread as determined by official match statistics. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Levante or Sevilla would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also contribute to price movements. Furthermore, significant betting activity, even without specific news, can drive the market in a particular direction as traders react to each other’s positions.