TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Sevilla will win its professional La Liga soccer game against Levante. Currently, Kalshi gives Sevilla a win probability of 87.0%, while a tie is priced at 12.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match originally scheduled for October 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result reported for the La Liga fixture. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 12, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the event window for resolution.
The event covers three possible outcomes for the Levante vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer match originally scheduled for October 12, 2026: Levante win, Sevilla win, or a tie, all determined after the full 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to one of these outcomes. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Therefore, you may observe discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Kalshi and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. These differences can stem from varying levels of information, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions about the likelihood of each outcome in the Levante vs Sevilla match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the group. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a dynamic pricing model, meaning that prices change rapidly based on supply and demand, and the volume traded influences the depth and liquidity of the market for the Levante vs Sevilla match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Levante vs Sevilla match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on the final score and declare the outcome. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Levante or Sevilla could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large-volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and drive price movements, reflecting a change in collective sentiment about the Levante vs Sevilla match.