TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Levante and Atletico Madrid. Bettors can speculate on whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout results.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored by both Levante and Atletico Madrid in their professional La Liga soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026. All markets resolve after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootout outcomes excluded from consideration. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold: if the total goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' The markets are independent, allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring probability. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Levante vs Atletico match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of expectations. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, indicating potential support and resistance levels.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Levante vs Atletico match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will receive nothing. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Levante or Atletico would likely cause movement, as would changes in team form or tactical approaches. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also impact the expected goal total. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can shift the price, reflecting changes in market sentiment. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities before the market resolves.