TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Levante UD and Club Atlético de Madrid. The market also includes an option for 'Neither' team scoring within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Resolution relies on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.
In the upcoming match between Levante UD and Club Atlético de Madrid, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Levante UD" if Levante UD are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club Atlético de Madrid" if Club Atlético de Madrid are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Levante UD and Club Atlético de Madrid, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Levante UD" if Levante UD are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club Atlético de Madrid" if Club Atlético de Madrid are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates real-time insights from individuals incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. While both aim to forecast the probability of events, differences can arise due to varying information sources and biases. This market’s current volume is $35, indicating active trading and potentially a refined probability assessment.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict for the La Liga first-to-score market can occur due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, influencing price discovery. Furthermore, differing levels of information access and interpretation among traders on each venue can lead to divergent opinions. Currently, Polymarket currently favors neither team to score first at 96%, while Predict leans toward the same outcome. These variations are normal and contribute to the overall efficiency of the prediction market ecosystem.