TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various potential score margins in an upcoming soccer match between Leones Negros and Tepatitlan. It focuses on determining whether specific teams achieve decisive victories by particular goal differentials. The outcome depends entirely on the final score of the match after regular time.
The event evaluates multiple possible winning margins for both teams in a single soccer match. Four distinct outcome conditions exist: Leones Negros must win by more than 2.5 goals, Leones Negros must win by more than 1.5 goals, Tepatitlan must win by more than 1.5 goals, or Tepatitlan must win by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the match's final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The event applies only to the professional Liga de Expansion MX game originally scheduled for November 1, 2026, and is independent of any official league affiliations. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the applicable rule if the corresponding team achieves its required goal differential; otherwise, it resolves 'No' for all rules.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. Therefore, you may observe differences between the implied probabilities in this market and those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Leones Negros vs Tepatitlan match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Leones Negros vs Tepatitlan match as reported by official sources. The market will determine which outcome—Tepatitlan wins by more than 1.5 goals, or another result—is the correct one based on the official game results. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or even significant pre-match commentary from analysts could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in sentiment, causing the price to move. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves as the Leones Negros vs Tepatitlan match approaches.