TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns whether both Leones Negros and Oaxaca will manage to score at least one goal each in their upcoming Liga de Expansion MX match. The outcome hinges on the offensive performance of both teams during regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty phases.
If Leones Negros and Oaxaca both score a goal in the Leones Negros vs Oaxaca Liga de Expansion MX match originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market relies on individuals buying and selling contracts based on their own research and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Leones Negros vs Oaxaca match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy 'yes' contracts if they believe both teams will score and 'no' contracts if they believe at least one team will fail to do so. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, indicating the level of demand and supply for each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Leones Negros and Oaxaca teams score at least one goal during the scheduled match. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning outcome. Traders holding 'yes' contracts will receive a payout if both teams score, while those holding 'no' contracts will receive a payout if at least one team fails to score.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Leones Negros or Oaxaca could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also play a role. Furthermore, team form leading up to the match, tactical changes announced by the managers, and even public sentiment expressed through social media or sports news outlets can all contribute to price movements in this market.