TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Leones Negros vs Oaxaca
kalshi

What is the result of Leones Negros vs Oaxaca?

Volume:
$207,496

Oaxaca

 - Kalshi

Oaxaca - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 4:10 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oaxaca

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$94,863
N/A
N/A
$52,880
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Leones Negros

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85,339
N/A
N/A
$46,799
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,294
N/A
N/A
$13,460
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Leones Negros and Oaxaca. The result depends solely on who wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If neither team wins during this period, the result is considered a tie.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Leones Negros vs Oaxaca professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome for Leones Negros occurs if they win within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for Oaxaca occurs if they secure a victory within the same timeframe. If the match ends level after regular time and stoppage, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes'. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing strictly on the result after the standard match duration.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Leones Negros vs Oaxaca match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how the market is pricing the outcome, along with the total volume traded, currently at $207,496, and the 24-hour volume, which is $172,511. This allows you to monitor market sentiment and activity related to this specific sporting event. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of different results in this contest.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and opinions. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can be more responsive to late-breaking news or shifts in public sentiment. Comparing the odds can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential outcome of the Leones Negros vs Oaxaca match.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current volume traded indicates the level of interest and confidence in each potential result, providing insight into how the market is interpreting available information regarding the Leones Negros vs Oaxaca match.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Leones Negros vs Oaxaca match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning contract and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements related to team strategy or coaching decisions could also cause shifts in market sentiment. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or changes in public perception of team performance could all contribute to fluctuations in the market for the Leones Negros vs Oaxaca match, leading to increased trading volume and price adjustments.