TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 5:25 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Liga de Expansión MX game between Leones Negros UDEG and Tepatitlan FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Leones Negros UDEG vs. Tepatitlan FC match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Liga de Expansión MX game between Leones Negros UDEG and Tepatitlan FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Leones Negros UDEG vs. Tepatitlan FC match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees of the final result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each exact score. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Leones Negros vs Tepatitlan match – the exact score – will be used to determine which shares pay out. Resolution relies on publicly available, authoritative sources to ensure an accurate and transparent outcome for all participants in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis from reputable soccer experts might also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large volume of shares traded on a particular outcome – could signal a shift in expectations and move the market accordingly. Keep an eye on these signals as the match approaches.