TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:38 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Leones Futbol Club and Libertad Loja, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Leones Futbol Club" if Leones Futbol Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Libertad Loja" if Libertad Loja are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Leones Futbol Club and Libertad Loja, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Leones Futbol Club" if Leones Futbol Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Libertad Loja" if Libertad Loja are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in modeling approaches. It's possible to find value by comparing the implied probabilities in this market to those offered by sportsbooks and identifying where there's a perceived mispricing.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Leones or Libertad will score first. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, Leones or Libertad, scores the first goal in the match. The result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources. Traders who correctly predicted the first team to score will receive a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching strategies could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also influence the price of shares. Furthermore, as the match draws closer, any shifts in public perception or betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks may be reflected in this market. Monitoring these factors can help traders assess potential opportunities and manage their risk.