TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:54 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game between Leones Futbol Club and Libertad Loja, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Leones Futbol Club vs. Libertad Loja match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game between Leones Futbol Club and Libertad Loja, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Leones Futbol Club vs. Libertad Loja match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. As a result, the implied probabilities from Polymarket may differ from sportsbook odds, potentially offering value to informed bettors who can identify discrepancies. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially when there’s strong public interest and informed trading activity.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores for the Leones vs. Libertad match. The price of each share reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that score occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular score is likely, the higher its share price will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts, the price will adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing system. This allows for a constantly updated assessment of the potential outcomes of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Leones vs. Libertad match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning share(s) in this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verified information to ensure a fair and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Polymarket once the event has concluded and the results have been officially confirmed.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could impact the perceived probabilities of different exact scores. Unexpected announcements or developments related to the teams’ performance or strategies could also trigger significant market movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket can sometimes create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in sentiment or new information. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding the dynamics of this market.