TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:49 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Leones Futbol Club and CS Emelec, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Leones Futbol Club" if Leones Futbol Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CS Emelec" if CS Emelec are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Leones Futbol Club and CS Emelec, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Leones Futbol Club" if Leones Futbol Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CS Emelec" if CS Emelec are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more favorable odds, particularly when there's strong disagreement with the broader public opinion. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges and traders adjust their beliefs about which team will score first.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Leones or Emelec will score first. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand among traders on the platform, and the current implied probabilities are visible on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first goal in the Leones Futbol Club versus CS Emelec match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the first team to score will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Leones or Emelec would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, and tactical adjustments announced by the managers could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could shift expectations and lead to price fluctuations in this market. The closer we get to the match, the more sensitive it will be to new information.