TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lens vs Marseille
opinion
kalshi

What is the result of Lens vs Marseille?

Total volume:
$333
Volume 24h:
$23N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$326
5%

Lens

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 06d:00h:36m

Lens wins

47%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 47¢ buys you 213 shares | Odds: 47% Total Payout: $213 | Net Profit: $113 Multiplier: 2.13x | ROI: 113% APY not meaningful 6 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lens

Trade
47%
Yes 47¢No 55¢
2¢
N/A
$14
100%
N/A
$7
6d 36m
Active
opinion

Lens wins

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 21h 36m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
47%
Yes 47¢No 55¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Marseille

Trade
30%
1%
Yes 30¢No 71¢
1¢
N/A
$319
5%
N/A
$319
6d 36m
Active
opinion

Marseille wins

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 21h 36m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
30%
Yes 30¢No 71¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 36m
Active
opinion

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 21h 36m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a single Ligue 1 soccer match between Lens and Marseille scheduled for November 8, 2026. The markets ask who will win the match or if it will end in a draw, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolution depends on the official result of the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms agree that the match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time determines the winner, including the possibility of a draw.Primary resolution logic: Official Ligue 1 results

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if Lens wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if Marseille wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: If the match is postponed and rescheduled, the markets will resolve based on the result of the rescheduled match, following the same resolution criteria.
  • Match Abandonment: If the match is abandoned before 90 minutes plus stoppage time are completed, the markets will likely be voided, depending on Ligue 1 regulations. This is at the discretion of the platform.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as the official result of the Lens vs. Marseille match is available from official Ligue 1 sources, typically shortly after the conclusion of the 90 minutes plus stoppage time.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Lens vs Marseille professional Ligue 1 soccer match originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Lens wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Lens' market resolves to Yes. If Marseille wins under the same conditions, the 'Marseille' market resolves to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after the standard match duration.

Opinion

This market refers to the Ligue 1 match between Lens (LEN) and Marseille (MAR), scheduled for 2026-11-08 19:45 UTC. - LEN: If Lens wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - MAR: If Marseille wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both LEN and MAR options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Ligue 1. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.ligue1.com/

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Lens vs Marseille match from multiple prediction markets, including Kalshi and Opinion. It displays the current consensus view, showing the probability of different outcomes as determined by traders on these platforms. Currently, the total volume traded across all platforms is $333, with $23 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how collective predictions are evolving leading up to the event and compare the aggregated probability to implied probabilities from other sources.

Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. However, both aim to accurately predict the probability of an event occurring, and both can be valuable tools for informed decision-making. It’s important to compare and contrast both sets of odds when evaluating the Lens vs Marseille match.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Lens vs Marseille match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body, and will reflect which team won, or if the match ended in a draw. The resolution will be determined by publicly available data, ensuring transparency and accuracy in the final outcome of this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Lens or Marseille would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift the probabilities. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also move the market. Monitoring team news and expert analysis will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.