TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lens vs Lyon: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Lens vs Lyon?

Volume:
$51,544

Lens wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Lens wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 4:44 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lens wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,396
N/A
N/A
$8,996
Settled
No
kalshi

Lens wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,968
N/A
N/A
$7,046
Settled
No
kalshi

Lyon wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,298
N/A
N/A
$5,606
Settled
No
kalshi

Lyon wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,082
N/A
N/A
$4,923
Settled
No
kalshi

Lens wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional Ligue 1 soccer match between Lens and Lyon, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Different thresholds define successful outcomes based on how many goals separate the winning and losing teams.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential in the Lens vs Lyon Ligue 1 soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Lens wins by more than 2.5 goals, Lens wins by more than 1.5 goals, Lyon wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Lyon wins by more than 2.5 goals, all evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and not including extra time or penalties. The resolution depends entirely on the margin of victory, with specific thresholds defined for each potential winner. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Lens vs Lyon match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the market is valuing different outcomes in real-time. Currently, the total volume for this market is $51,544, with $51,123 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a clear view of market activity and sentiment surrounding the game. The dashboard updates continuously as traders buy and sell contracts, reflecting their predictions about the final result of the Lens vs Lyon match.

Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into the odds. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. While sportsbooks may initially have different odds, the prediction market tends to converge towards a true probability as more information becomes available and more traders participate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information advantages, or simply the dynamics of each market.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Lens vs Lyon match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can place buy or sell orders at specific prices, and the market continuously adjusts to reflect the latest information and sentiment. The more contracts purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price will climb, indicating increased confidence in that result.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the final result of the Lens vs Lyon match, specifically the spread as determined by official game statistics. The market will then settle, and contract holders will receive payouts based on whether their predictions were correct. It’s important to monitor news and official sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could impact the final result and subsequent market settlement.

Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lens or Lyon would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team issues could also influence the market. Furthermore, any significant public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the likely outcome of the Lens vs Lyon match could contribute to price movements.