TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 0.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 0.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 01d:23h:42m
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This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming Champions League soccer match between Leipzig and Manchester City. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, determining whether the game will be high-scoring or more defensive in nature. The outcome depends solely on the combined goals scored by both teams within regular time.
These markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the Leipzig vs Manchester City professional Champions League soccer match scheduled for November 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' The resolution considers only goals scored in regular time, and all markets operate independently. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, allows traders to express their own beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the actual outcome as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, with increased buying pressure driving prices higher and increased selling pressure driving them lower. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Leipzig vs Manchester City match will be the determining factor. The official match statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts following the official confirmation of the match outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Leipzig or Manchester City would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact traders' expectations. Late-breaking news regarding team lineups or potential starting formations could also lead to shifts in the market price. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of different goal totals has the potential to move this market.