TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Leicester and Wigan. Participants can speculate on whether Leicester will win, Wigan will win, or the game will end in a tie based on the full regulation time result. The resolution depends solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full regulation time result of the Leicester vs Wigan professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for October 27, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome for either Leicester or Wigan occurs only if that team secures a victory after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; penalties or extra time do not count. If the match concludes as a tie within regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probability of an event as assessed by traders. Polls and analysts currently suggest a varied outlook on the match, but this market provides a unique, real-time view of collective predictions. Discrepancies between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can sometimes present opportunities for arbitrage, though these are often short-lived.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Leicester vs Wigan match, as declared by the governing sporting body. Traders will be able to see the final result and any relevant documentation on Kalshi following the completion of the match. The market will then settle, and winning contracts will be paid out according to their final price.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or media coverage, might influence trading activity. Finally, large-volume trades on Kalshi themselves can cause noticeable price fluctuations, especially closer to the event.