TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Leicester and Stevenage, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals each team scores during regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Different thresholds define whether the market resolves positively for each potential outcome.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios in the Leicester vs Stevenage professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026. Resolution occurs based on the winning margin after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct primary rules define specific conditions under which the market resolves to Yes: Leicester winning by more than 2.5 goals, Leicester winning by more than 1.5 goals, Stevenage winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Stevenage winning by more than 2.5 goals. All markets share the same secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, with no provisions for tie scenarios or post-match tiebreakers.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors a particular outcome. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the mispricing between the two. However, it’s important to remember that both types of odds represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Leicester vs Stevenage match, specifically the final spread. The platform will verify the result against official sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the final score. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Leicester or Stevenage could significantly shift the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day can also impact predictions. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment, potentially leading to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring sports news and team updates is crucial for understanding potential catalysts.