TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Leicester and Stevenage. The result depends solely on who wins the match after the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. If the teams finish level, the tie outcome applies.
The markets resolve based exclusively on the full-time result of the Leicester vs Stevenage EFL League One soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the winning team—or to the 'Tie' market if the game ends level. All markets explicitly exclude resolution based on extra time or penalty shootout results. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will instead resolve to a fair price, as determined under the governing resolution rules. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all league-related trademarks remain property of their respective rights holders.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, whereas this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or injury reports – and as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi may converge with, or diverge from, those offered by sportsbooks. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Leicester vs Stevenage match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate beliefs may incur losses. The market price dynamically adjusts based on new information and the collective actions of all participants on the exchange, creating a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Leicester vs Stevenage match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will then verify the result and settle all outstanding contracts accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 31, 2026. Key events include any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Leicester or Stevenage, changes in team form or tactical approaches, and even weather conditions on match day. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions could also cause the odds to shift. Significant public sentiment, reflected in media coverage or social media trends, may also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Any major developments will likely be quickly reflected in the trading volume and price movements on Kalshi.