TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Leicester and Peterborough, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It reflects how analysts and fans might assess the relative strength of the teams based on the final score after regular time.
The event covers four possible outcomes for the Leicester vs Peterborough professional EFL League One soccer game scheduled for October 10, 2026, with resolution based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Leicester wins by more than 2.5 goals, that specific market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Leicester wins by more than 1.5 goals, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. For Peterborough, winning by more than 1.5 goals resolves its market to Yes, as does a victory by more than 2.5 goals. Each market operates independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, noting that all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or focus on public perception, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a certain outcome. However, as the event approaches, both sets of odds tend to converge as more information becomes available and public sentiment shifts.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Leicester vs Peterborough match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the governing sports body, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout as determined by the market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Leicester or Peterborough would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact expectations. Unexpected announcements about key players or coaching staff, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on expert analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess potential opportunities and manage their risk.