TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Leicester and Doncaster, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event consists of four distinct outcome markets evaluating different goal-differential thresholds for either Leicester or Doncaster to win by in the scheduled EFL League One soccer match. Each market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalties. If Leicester wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If Leicester wins by more than 1.5 goals (but not exceeding 2.5), the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Doncaster wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if Doncaster wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Only one of these markets can resolve to Yes, depending on the exact goal differential of the match outcome. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though they represent distinct approaches to forecasting the outcome of the Leicester vs Doncaster match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Leicester vs Doncaster match will be the determining factor, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the ranges defined by the market. The resolution will be based on official results released by the governing sports body, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Oct 17, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team form, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, as could significant public sentiment changes reflected in betting patterns. Major announcements related to team management or key player availability are likely to cause noticeable movements in this market as traders adjust their predictions for the Leicester vs Doncaster match.