TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams competing in England's Super League. The result depends solely on which team wins the match played on the specified date and time. Any changes to the schedule or cancellation of the game will affect how the market ultimately settles.
The market resolves based on the winner of the men's professional England Super League basketball game between Leicester Riders and Surrey 89ers scheduled for October 17, 2026, at 1:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within that 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with or connected to the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the dynamic nature of trading. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to adjustments based on new information and collective insight. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the price towards what they perceive as the true probability. This can create opportunities for arbitrage or informed speculation.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Leicester Riders versus Surrey 89ers game will be used to determine the winning contract. This includes official game statistics and any official announcements regarding the game’s completion. The platform relies on publicly available information to verify the outcome and settle the market accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Unexpected news regarding player injuries or changes in team lineups for either the Leicester Riders or the Surrey 89ers would likely cause significant shifts. Game-day performance, early scoring trends, and even coaching decisions could also impact the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also contribute to price movements. Any significant developments related to the teams or the game itself have the potential to move this market before it resolves.