TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 7:04 PM EST
Polymarket
This group concerns the outcome of a single soccer match between Leicester City FC and Wigan Athletic FC scheduled for September 26, 2026. Markets ask whether Leicester City will win, Wigan Athletic will win, or the match will end in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming League One game, scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 between Leicester City FC and Wigan Athletic FC.
The event resolves based on the result of the Leicester vs Wigan professional EFL League One soccer game scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. If Leicester wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Leicester' market resolves to Yes. If Wigan wins under the same conditions, the 'Wigan' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Any cancellation or rescheduling beyond 48 hours will result in a fair price resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those displayed on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets allow participants to directly trade on their beliefs. This market benefits from the diverse perspectives of numerous traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as new information emerges. However, sportsbooks often have stricter limits on bet sizes and may react more quickly to breaking news. The efficiency of this market compared to sportsbooks depends on factors like trading volume and the availability of relevant information.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors, including differences in user base, trading volume, and platform-specific rules. Each platform attracts a different pool of traders with varying levels of expertise and information. Additionally, the liquidity of this market may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi, impacting price discovery. While both platforms aim to reflect the true probability of an event, these inherent differences can lead to discrepancies in pricing. It’s common to see variations, even for the same underlying event, across different prediction market venues.