TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 9:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This event determines the winner of map 2 in an upcoming Dota 2 match between LEGION and Team Spirit. The outcome will be decided by the performance of the teams during the scheduled match on October 22, 2026.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win map 2 in the specified Dota 2 match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the result follows the official governing body's decision.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on team rankings and expert analysis, but may be slower to incorporate new information. This market, driven by active traders, can quickly adjust to news like player form, strategic shifts, or even in-game momentum. While sportsbooks might offer a wider range of bet types, the focused nature of this market allows for a concentrated prediction on a single outcome – the Map 2 winner. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as the event draws nearer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction format. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether LEGION will win Map 2. The price of a 'yes' contract represents the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in LEGION. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the event organizer for Map 2 of the LEGION versus Team Spirit CS2 match. The winning team on that map will determine the settlement of this market. Traders holding 'yes' contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not. The final result will be publicly available and used to determine all payouts.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player availability for either LEGION or Team Spirit, such as injuries or unexpected roster changes, would likely cause movement. In-game performance during earlier matches in the series could also shift expectations. Major strategic announcements from either team, or analysis highlighting a particular team’s strength on this map, could influence trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other concurrent matches might also indirectly affect sentiment. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative chances of winning Map 2 could move the market.