TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 8:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event determines the winner of map 1 in an upcoming Dota 2 match between LEGION and Team Spirit. The outcome hinges on which team secures victory in the first map of the match on October 22, 2026.
If LEGION wins map 1 in the PARI Universe 2026: LEGION vs. Team Spirit Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Team Spirit wins map 1 in the PARI Universe 2026: LEGION vs. Team Spirit Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before major events, as new information emerges and public opinion shifts. This can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of Legion winning map 1. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. Factors like team form, player statistics, and recent match results all influence trading activity and ultimately the market price.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of map 1 in the Legion vs. Team Spirit match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the event organizers. The market will then settle, and traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final price of the winning contract at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to team lineups would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event could also shift perceptions of team strength. Furthermore, in-game performance during other matches on the same day might influence trader sentiment. Major announcements from the teams themselves, or even strong opinions from prominent analysts, could also play a role in driving price fluctuations before Oct 22, 2026.