TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 9:19 AM EST
Kalshi
Another intense Dota 2 confrontation features LEGION against Team Spirit. The market outcome is determined by which team emerges victorious in this scheduled competitive match.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the specified Dota 2 match. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled before play, or forfeited prior to any action, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match starts and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks due to the differing incentives and information sources of the participants. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction market participants are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate assessment of probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. It's common to see this market move in response to news or analysis that hasn’t fully impacted sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a fair value based on available information. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a margin system to ensure solvency and manage risk, and traders can adjust their positions as new information emerges, influencing the market price.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Legion vs. Team Spirit match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the competition. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to Kalshi’s standard procedures. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the final, verified result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team strategies, or changes in coaching staff could impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the venue or scheduling changes could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, public sentiment, as reflected in expert analysis or social media trends, can influence trader behavior and drive price movements. Major upsets in other related matches might also affect how traders assess the likelihood of different outcomes in this market.