TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 2:19 PM EST
Kalshi
The first map of the LEGION versus PARIVISION Dota 2 match will set the tone for the entire contest. Analysts and team strategies often hinge on the results of this initial clash, making it a pivotal moment for both participants and spectators.
The market resolves based on which team wins map 1 of the specified Dota 2 match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the result is determined by the official governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and may incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs and adjust the price based on new information. If there’s a significant discrepancy, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is always perfectly accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome—in this case, either Legion or Parivision winning map 1. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market’s price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand from traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of map 1 in the Legion vs. Parivision match will determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on official match results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will forfeit their investment. The final price will reflect the ultimate result of the map 1 competition.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding team rosters, player performance, or strategic changes could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about map bans or preferred playstyles could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, in-game performance during other matches leading up to the event, or even early performance in the first few rounds of the match itself, could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Major upsets in related competitions or significant shifts in public sentiment could also contribute to price movements.