TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 3:50 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional Dota 2 teams, LEGION and PARIVISION, will compete in a match scheduled for October 23, 2026. The outcome depends entirely on which team secures a victory in this head-to-head contest.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if that team wins the specified Dota 2 match. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any play, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves based on the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect information and insights beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially revealing hidden factors or late-breaking news. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available. Sportsbooks may also be influenced by promotional considerations or biases, whereas the incentive structure of a prediction market encourages more accurate forecasting. However, both represent probabilities of the same event happening.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders set the odds by buying and selling contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth indicates how much volume is available at various price points, providing insight into the strength of conviction behind different predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Legion vs. Parivision match, as reported by the governing body or official sources. The platform will verify the results against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It's important to monitor official announcements as the event approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team performance, player injuries, or strategic changes could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, can also play a role, influencing trader behavior. Major upsets in related competitions or shifts in overall team momentum are further signals to watch. Monitoring these events will provide insight into potential price fluctuations before Oct 23, 2026.