TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Legia Warszawa vs. Wisla Krakow
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Legia Warszawa vs. Wisla Krakow?

Volume:
$126,410

Legia Warszawa

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 6:29 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Legia Warszawa

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$76,212
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Legia Warszawa

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,130
N/A
N/A
$14,468
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Wisla Krakow

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,409
N/A
N/A
$8,715
Settled
No
polymarket

Wisla Krakow

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,972
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,087
N/A
N/A
$8,108
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Legia Warszawa vs. Wisla Krakow)

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$600
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Legia Warszawa and Wisla Krakow scheduled for October 11, 2026. Markets exist for Legia Warszawa winning, Wisla Krakow winning, or the game ending in a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same timeframe (90 minutes + stoppage time) and have consistent fallback procedures for data availability and game cancellation scenarios.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (Ekstraklasa.org).

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, or as soon as official statistics are available, whichever is sooner.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Poland Ekstraklasa game, scheduled for Sunday, October 11, 2026 between Legia Warszawa and Wisla Krakow.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the official result of the Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow professional Ekstraklasa soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Legia Warszawa or Wisla Krakow occurs only if that team secures a win within regular time; a tied result resolves the 'Tie' market as 'Yes.' Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect resolution. If the match is canceled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when there's significant public information available. However, sportsbooks often have lower transaction costs and may offer more diverse betting options. The difference in odds can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Legia Warszawa vs. Wisla Krakow match can arise due to several factors. Differences in trader demographics, market liquidity, and the specific incentives offered on each platform all contribute. Polymarket might attract a different class of traders than Kalshi, leading to varying interpretations of the same information. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform – currently $126,410 overall – impacts price discovery, and differing trading fees or platform features can also influence how participants price the outcome of this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or major announcements from the clubs themselves, could also influence the odds. Any significant public statements from key players or coaches could also move the market. Monitoring sports news and social media for updates related to the Legia Warszawa vs. Wisla Krakow match is crucial for understanding potential market movements.