TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Legia Warszawa and KKS Lech Poznan scheduled for October 25, 2026. Markets exist for Legia Warszawa winning, KKS Lech Poznan winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming Poland Ekstraklasa game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between Legia Warszawa and KKS Lech Poznan.
The event involves three markets resolving based on the result of the Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan professional Ekstraklasa soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to one possible outcome: Legia Warszawa win, Lech Poznan win, or a tie—all determined after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalties. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. The markets are strictly based on the official match result and are not influenced by any post-match proceedings such as extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and information access. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility and discrepancies. Additionally, the specific market design and available trading mechanisms on each platform can influence price discovery. For example, different fee structures or order types can impact how traders behave and, consequently, the prices established for the Polish Ekstraklasa match.