TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Leganes and Mallorca in La Liga 2. The result is determined by the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Markets will reflect whether Leganes wins, Mallorca wins, or the game ends in a tie based on this timeframe.
The event resolves based on the result of the Leganes vs Mallorca professional La Liga 2 soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. If Leganes wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Leganes' market resolves to Yes. If Mallorca wins under the same conditions, the 'Mallorca' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after the specified duration, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the governing rules. The markets exclusively consider the result after regular time plus stoppage time, with no account for outcomes determined in extra time or penalty shootouts.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, allows traders to directly express their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying levels of market participation.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Leganes vs Mallorca match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a Leganes win, a Mallorca win, or a tie—actually occurred during the scheduled match. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 24, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Leganes or Mallorca would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift traders' expectations. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Any information that alters the perceived probability of each outcome has the potential to move this market.