TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:42 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Premier League game between Leeds United FC and Manchester United FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Leeds United FC" if Leeds United FC score more goals than Manchester United FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Leeds United FC and Manchester United FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC score more goals than Leeds United FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Premier League game between Leeds United FC and Manchester United FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Leeds United FC" if Leeds United FC score more goals than Manchester United FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Leeds United FC and Manchester United FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC score more goals than Leeds United FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous process where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's efficiency is driven by the incentives for traders to accurately assess the probabilities, as profitable trades depend on correctly predicting the final result of the second half.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the second half of the Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the official match result to determine which shares will pay out, and at what value. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Manchester United or Leeds United would likely cause significant movement. Tactical changes announced by either manager before the match could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game events during the first half, such as a red card or an early goal, would undoubtedly impact the odds. Public sentiment and late-breaking analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to price fluctuations leading up to and during the match.