TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:00 AM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Leeds United FC and Manchester United FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Leeds United FC" if Leeds United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Leeds United FC and Manchester United FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Leeds United FC" if Leeds United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission, influencing their prices, while this market is driven purely by trader opinions and the collective wisdom of those predicting the outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can still be valuable for comparison and identifying potential discrepancies, offering a broader view of expectations for this event.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract directly reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what percentage of the event’s outcome is already ‘priced in’ by the crowd, offering a unique view compared to static pre-event odds.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC match. The official match records will serve as the basis for verifying the result, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process for this market.
Several factors could influence this market before the match takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Leeds United or Manchester United would likely cause significant movement. Team lineup announcements, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions impacting playing style could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role, as could public comments from managers or players that suggest a change in approach. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.