TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:22 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Leeds United FC and Manchester United FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Leeds United FC" if Leeds United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Leeds United FC and Manchester United FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Leeds United FC" if Leeds United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying levels of information and incentives. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If bookmakers heavily favor one team, we might see a different probability distribution here, as traders can express disagreement with those initial assessments. It is common to observe that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions when forecasting event outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially confirmed and reflected on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Manchester United or Leeds United would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected team lineup announcements, changes in managerial tactics, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts or unexpected betting trends in traditional sportsbooks could trigger movement in this market as traders react to new information.