TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC?

Volume:
$1,652,752

Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 11:14 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC)

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$211,139
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$13,887
$121,685
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Manchester United FC

0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$622,114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

MUN

0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$310
$197,716
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Leeds United FC

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$407,096
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

LEE

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$328
$93,002
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the probability of a draw in the Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC match. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, as aggregated from Predict and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (Premier League). Keep an eye on the match itself on October 18, 2026, to see if this consensus holds as the game progresses.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize identical resolution criteria, including the same fallback data sources and treatment of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (Premier League).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled, win markets resolve to 'No' and draw markets resolve to 'Yes'.
  • A tiered source hierarchy (official stats, Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus) is used for data verification.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If both are unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official statistics are available, but no later than 24 hours after the event's conclusion. If no data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 18, 2026 between Leeds United FC and Manchester United FC.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 18, 2026 between Leeds United FC and Manchester United FC.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts from multiple prediction markets, specifically Polymarket and Predict, regarding the outcome of the Manchester United vs. Leeds match. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $1,652,752, with $1,607,978 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of probabilities, though it's important to note that each platform operates independently. The dashboard provides a comprehensive overview of where the crowd believes the outcome will land in this contest, offering a unique perspective beyond traditional analysis.

Prediction market odds, like those reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the incentives of participants and the information incorporated into pricing. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides, while prediction markets incentivize participants to express their true beliefs about the probability of an event. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when a large volume of trading occurs. Furthermore, prediction markets benefit from a wider range of information sources, as traders can incorporate news, analysis, and even social sentiment into their forecasts. The volume on this market is currently $1,652,752.