TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

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40,634

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lech Poznan vs Sunderland
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What is the result of Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?

Volume:
$1,160,597

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 2:36 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$230,673
N/A
N/A
$172,562
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sunderland

0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$655,570
N/A
N/A
$284,530
Settled
No
kalshi

Lech Poznan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$274,354
N/A
N/A
$161,834
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether the Europa League soccer match between Lech Poznan and Sunderland will end in a tie. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to “Tie is the result” and a 1.0% probability to “Sunderland wins”. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official result of the Lech Poznan vs Sunderland professional Europa League soccer game. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve to a Yes/No outcome following the final whistle on October 22, 2026, the originally scheduled date for the game.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Lech Poznan vs Sunderland Europa League match scheduled for October 22, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Lech Poznan wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. If Sunderland wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price. The event explicitly states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Lech Poznan vs Sunderland match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how the market is pricing the outcome, along with the total volume traded, currently at $1,160,597, and the 24-hour volume, which is $1,031,985. This allows you to monitor market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to this specific contest. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the probabilities of different results.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd and may be less influenced by initial biases or public perception. It's common to see this market offer odds that differ from traditional sportsbooks, potentially providing opportunities for informed traders to find value.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to news or events related to the Lech Poznan vs Sunderland match. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, creating a dynamic pricing environment.

This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lech Poznan vs Sunderland match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in player form for either Lech Poznan or Sunderland could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue or major tactical adjustments announced before the game could also trigger price fluctuations. Furthermore, general news related to the teams’ performance in other competitions or broader football events could contribute to shifts in this market’s pricing.