TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 2:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional Europa League soccer match between Lech Poznan and Leverkusen. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. The match result is determined after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Lech Poznan vs Leverkusen Europa League match exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). All markets consider only goals scored during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time; goals from extra time or penalty shootouts are excluded from the resolution. The match must be the professional Europa League game originally scheduled for October 15, 2026. If the match is postponed, canceled, or otherwise not played as scheduled, all markets will resolve as 'No'. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies, and neither is guaranteed to be correct. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential for a specific number of goals to be scored in the Lech Poznan vs Leverkusen match. The current volume is $345,854.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal count of the Lech Poznan vs Leverkusen match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing soccer authorities. The market will determine whether the total goals scored fall into a specific range, as defined by the available contract options. Traders who correctly predicted the total goals will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lech Poznan or Leverkusen would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected goal total. Additionally, pre-match analysis from soccer experts and updated team lineups could shift traders' perceptions of the likely outcome. Finally, even general shifts in public sentiment or large trades by individual participants could cause fluctuations in the price of contracts for this market.