TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$203,036,808

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,857,846,526

408,774

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,373

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

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Kalshi:

63%

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Lech Poznan vs Leverkusen: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Lech Poznan vs Leverkusen?

Volume:
$143,440

Leverkusen wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Leverkusen wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 2:38 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Leverkusen wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$68,000
N/A
N/A
$46,686
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Leverkusen wins by more than 3.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,131
N/A
N/A
$7,719
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Leverkusen wins by more than 2.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,662
N/A
N/A
$11,903
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lech Poznan wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,861
N/A
N/A
$22,449
Settled
No
kalshi

Leverkusen wins by more than 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,753
N/A
N/A
$2,262
Settled
No
kalshi

Lech Poznan wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$538
N/A
N/A
$538
Settled
No
kalshi

Leverkusen wins by more than 5.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$495
N/A
N/A
$495
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional Europa League soccer match between Lech Poznan and Leverkusen, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. These thresholds vary depending on which team wins and by how many goals.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Lech Poznan or Leverkusen wins the match, with different thresholds applying to each team. If Lech Poznan wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, that outcome settles relevant markets as Yes. Similarly, if Leverkusen wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, the corresponding markets resolve positively. The match must be completed within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. All markets are independent of official league affiliations, and trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Lech Poznan vs Leverkusen match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the total volume for this market is $143,440, with $137,814 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where the crowd stands on the likely result of the spread.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public bias or sharp action. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. It's a good way to gauge alternative perspectives on the event.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the spread. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing expectations about the Lech Poznan vs Leverkusen match.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Lech Poznan vs Leverkusen match, specifically the final spread. The platform will verify the result against official sources to determine the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Lech Poznan or Leverkusen could significantly shift the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in coaching staff would also be key signals. Monitoring these developments will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.