TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Lech Poznan vs Leverkusen
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What is the result of Lech Poznan vs Leverkusen?

Volume:
$863,204

Leverkusen

 - Kalshi

Leverkusen - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 2:41 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Leverkusen

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$585,788
N/A
N/A
$346,310
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lech Poznan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$186,815
N/A
N/A
$133,313
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90,601
N/A
N/A
$55,975
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Leverkusen will win its Europa League soccer match against Lech Poznan. Currently, Kalshi gives Leverkusen a 99.0% probability of winning, while Lech Poznan is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026, as reported by the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time – excluding extra time or penalties. Keep a close watch on the kickoff of the match itself on October 15, 2026, as that will initiate the 90-minute window determining the market’s resolution.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes of the Europa League match between Lech Poznan and Leverkusen scheduled for October 15, 2026: a win for Lech Poznan, a win for Leverkusen, or a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if its specific outcome occurs within regular time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the event rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Lech Poznan vs Leverkusen match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time. Currently, the total volume for this market is $861,652, with $808,899 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a clear view of market activity and sentiment as traders react to news and information related to the upcoming match. The dashboard is updated in real-time to reflect the latest trading activity.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, but remember that both prediction markets and sportsbooks have their own strengths and limitations when forecasting the outcome of the Lech Poznan vs Leverkusen match.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential results of the Lech Poznan vs Leverkusen match. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of probabilities.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lech Poznan vs Leverkusen match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the final result. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the outcome of this market.

Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 15, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Lech Poznan or Leverkusen would likely impact the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift trader sentiment. News regarding tactical approaches or starting lineups could also influence trading activity. Finally, any significant external factors, like adverse weather conditions affecting the match, could lead to price adjustments in this market as traders reassess the probabilities.