TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a professional soccer match between two teams in a major league. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score a goal during regular play, including any added stoppage time at the end of the match. The focus is solely on the goals scored within the standard match duration, excluding any extended play beyond the 90 minutes.
If Lecce and Juventus both score a goal in the Lecce vs Juventus Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the game's potential for goals, or that one venue has incorporated information the other hasn't. It’s important to consider both when forming your own view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' for both teams to score, and the price reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to represent the collective belief of the market. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is influenced by factors like team form, injuries, and historical data, all interpreted by the traders themselves. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Lecce and Juventus score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final result will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lecce or Juventus would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the playing style of either team, could also move the market. Additionally, any significant tactical announcements from either manager, or even unexpected lineup changes, could shift trader sentiment and alter the price of this market.