TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates different margin-based outcomes for an upcoming professional soccer match between Lecce and Genoa. Each market focuses on whether one team secures a victory by a specific goal differential, reflecting various levels of dominance in the match.
The markets collectively assess whether Lecce or Genoa achieves a win by exceeding specified goal margins in their Serie A match scheduled for November 1, 2026. All outcomes are determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' resolution occurs if the winning team’s victory margin surpasses the threshold defined in each respective market—either more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals for either side. The markets operate independently, meaning each evaluates its specific condition without influence from the others. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the likely outcome of the Lecce vs Genoa match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price, creating a dynamic and responsive system. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded, and inaccurate ones are penalized.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Lecce vs Genoa match, as reported by official sources. The market will determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result and settle contracts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when and how this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Nov 1, 2026 resolution. Key injuries to star players on either Lecce or Genoa would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift market sentiment. News regarding tactical changes or potential lineup adjustments could also move the market. Finally, any major news related to the teams or the broader football landscape could influence trading activity and price fluctuations.