TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:03 AM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming Serie A match between Lecce and Bologna, this event tracks whether each team manages to score at least one goal during regular time. The outcome depends solely on the offensive performance of both clubs within the 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time.
If Lecce and Bologna both score a goal in the Lecce vs Bologna Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on this market and sportsbook odds, it could suggest differing opinions on the likelihood of both teams scoring. It’s important to remember that prediction markets represent the collective wisdom of traders, whereas sportsbooks are set by professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ outcomes for both teams to score. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time estimate of the event's likelihood. The market’s depth – the number of buy and sell orders at different price points – indicates the level of agreement among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Lecce and Bologna score at least one goal during the scheduled match time. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered in determining the outcome. The result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lecce or Bologna would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches released by the managers could shift trader sentiment. Even public perception and analysis from football experts could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.