TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:15h:38m
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This event tracks which teams will advance to the semifinals of the 2026 League of Legends Worlds tournament. Each market focuses on a specific team's performance, determining whether they secure a spot among the final four competitors in the prestigious global championship.
The event consists of twenty individual markets, each centered on a specific team's qualification to the semifinals of the 2026 League of Legends Worlds tournament. For any given market, if the named team successfully qualifies among the semifinalists, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets operate independently, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. The secondary rules across all markets uniformly state that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names referenced belong to their respective owners. The resolution of each market hinges solely on the team's performance in the tournament, with no additional conditions or exceptions applied.
Currently, prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on team rankings and historical performance, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are actively putting capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to factors not easily quantifiable by analysts, such as team morale, player form during the tournament, or perceived strategic advantages. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information and potentially outperform static analyst predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team reaching the semifinals. The price of a contract reflects the market’s current assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices fluctuate, providing a real-time indication of the perceived probabilities. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the League of Legends Worlds semifinals are verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which teams successfully advance to the semifinal stage of the tournament. The platform will then determine the winning contracts based on these verified results, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the semifinalists.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Unexpected roster changes, particularly if a key player is unavailable, would likely cause shifts in the odds. In-game performance during the group stage, showcasing a team’s strategic adaptations or individual player skill, could also influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in early matches, or announcements regarding player health and form, are all potential catalysts that could lead to substantial price movements in this market.