TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 06d:15h:49m
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This event tracks which teams will advance to the championship match of the 2026 League of Legends Worlds tournament. Participants can speculate on the likelihood of various teams reaching the final showdown based on current performance trends and team rosters.
The event determines whether any of the listed esports teams qualify for the 2026 League of Legends Worlds final match. Each market corresponds to a specific team; if that team secures a spot in the final, the respective market resolves positively. The outcome depends solely on team qualification status at the conclusion of tournament playoffs. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect others. Kalshi explicitly states no official affiliation with the governing league, and all intellectual property rights remain with their respective owners.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may lean on team rankings and historical performance, this market incorporates a wider range of information, including real-time sentiment and potential upsets. Discrepancies can arise from factors not easily quantifiable by analysts, such as player morale or in-game strategic adjustments. It's common to see the market assign higher probabilities to underdogs or adjust rapidly to news that hasn't fully been incorporated into conventional analysis, providing a unique view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the likelihood of each team reaching the League of Legends Worlds Final. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates the collective wisdom of participants, adjusting prices based on supply and demand. Traders aim to profit by identifying discrepancies between their own assessments and the market's implied probabilities.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the finalists of the League of Legends World Championship are verified against credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 for the winning teams and 0 for those that do not reach the final. The resolution will be based on the official results announced by the tournament organizers. Traders should monitor official announcements to understand the final standings and ensure accurate settlement of their contracts.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Major announcements regarding player injuries or roster changes would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected results in regional qualifying matches or during the group stage of the tournament could also impact odds, especially for teams considered underdogs. In-game strategic innovations or meta shifts could favor certain playstyles, influencing the perceived chances of different teams. Finally, any news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also affect trading activity and market prices.