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Le Mans FC vs. Toulouse FC - First Team to Score
predict
polymarket

Which team will score first?

Volume:
$19

Toulouse FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 5:11 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Toulouse FC

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

TOU

View
N/A
N/A
—
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Le Mans FC

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

LMF

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$200
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Neither

View
N/A
N/A
—
$2,029
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Le Mans FC and Toulouse FC. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution criteria, focusing on the first goal scored within the standard 90-minute match duration plus stoppage time, with a fallback resolution process.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.

Core resolution logic:

  • The first team to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time wins the market.
  • If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Postponed games will have resolution delayed until completion.
  • Canceled games will resolve to 'Neither'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 (or 'Draw' where applicable).
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as the official result is available, but no later than 24 hours after the event's conclusion, with the fallback data sources used if necessary.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Le Mans FC and Toulouse FC, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Le Mans FC" if Le Mans FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Toulouse FC" if Toulouse FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between Le Mans FC and Toulouse FC, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Le Mans FC" if Le Mans FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Toulouse FC" if Toulouse FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of either Le Mans FC or Toulouse FC scoring the first goal in their upcoming match. Currently, Polymarket shows a strong consensus with an estimated chance of 93 for one outcome, while overall volume across both platforms is $19. This aggregation provides a comprehensive view of predictions for the Le Mans vs. Toulouse first-to-score market, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders on these platforms. The dashboard allows you to compare odds and volume, giving insight into market sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, while sportsbooks must account for profit margins and potential biases. While sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market aggregates the insights of many individuals, potentially leading to a more informed assessment of the probability of each team scoring first. The difference between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can sometimes be significant, offering opportunities for arbitrage.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information access, leading to differing opinions on the likelihood of each team scoring first. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can result in wider bid-ask spreads and less efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price determination—how traders place bets and how odds are updated—differ between Polymarket and Predict, contributing to potential discrepancies.