TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 5:05 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Le Mans FC and Toulouse FC, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Le Mans FC" if Le Mans FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Toulouse FC" if Toulouse FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Le Mans FC and Toulouse FC, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Le Mans FC" if Le Mans FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Toulouse FC" if Toulouse FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of either Le Mans or Toulouse scoring first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price can fluctuate rapidly based on new information or shifts in sentiment, offering opportunities for traders to profit from perceived mispricings.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by which team—Le Mans or Toulouse—scores the first goal during the first half of the match. Official match data will be used to verify the result. The platform will then finalize the market, and traders will receive payouts based on their holdings in the winning outcome. It's important to monitor the event closely as it approaches resolution to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Le Mans or Toulouse would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might influence the style of play and, therefore, the probability of either team scoring first. Finally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts predicting a strong start for one team over the other could also cause the market to move.