TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 0.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 0.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 05d:20h:32m
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This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Ligue 1 soccer match between Le Havre and Lorient. Participants assess whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple outcome thresholds for the total goals scored in the Le Havre vs Lorient Ligue 1 match scheduled for November 8, 2026. Each threshold corresponds to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals exceed the specified amount after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. All markets exclusively consider goals scored during regular time and explicitly exclude those from extra time or penalty phases. The governing rules uniformly apply across all thresholds, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, being a peer-to-peer exchange, aims to reflect the collective wisdom of traders, potentially offering more accurate probabilities, though discrepancies can occur. It’s common to see differences in implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Le Havre vs Lorient match. Analyzing both sources can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored in the Le Havre vs Lorient match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth, visible on the dashboard, shows the available contracts at different price points, influencing the ease of executing trades.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Le Havre vs Lorient match, as officially recorded by the league organizers, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the official match conclusion.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Le Havre or Lorient would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift expectations. Even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or unexpected lineup announcements could trigger trading volume and alter the probabilities reflected in the market. Any information impacting the perceived goal-scoring potential of either team is a potential catalyst.